“Greater London was the best performing region in the quarter; prices rose by a seasonally adjusted 3.4%. This increase pushed the annual rate of change up from -1.9% to 7.0%, making London the best performing region over 2009.

“Outside of London, the East Midlands saw the strongest quarterly performance within the English regions, with a 2.8% rise in prices over the quarter, bringing the annual rate of change up from -5.4% to 2.5%. The Outer Metropolitan and Outer South East regions continued to see above average growth in the quarter and were the second and third best performing regions, with annual growth of 6.4% and 5.5% respectively.

“The northern regions generally saw weaker growth, in particular the North where prices rose just 0.4% in the quarter. The North was also the only English region not to see prices rise across the year as a whole, with an annual price change of -2.0%.

“House prices in Scotland rose 1.9% during the quarter, slightly above the UK average. This was enough to push the annual rate of change into positive territory, with prices up 1.0% compared to the fourth quarter of 2008. Quarterly price growth in Wales remained relatively weak in the fourth quarter, with a 0.9% rise recorded, leaving average prices marginally lower than one year earlier.

“Reversing the large increase seen in the third quarter, prices in Northern Ireland fell by 6.8% in the fourth quarter. On an annual basis, house prices were down 6.7%, a modest improvement from the 8% year-on-year fall in the third quarter. Northern Ireland remains the worst performing UK region.

Wales top performing UK country over last decade

“Despite the sharp house price falls seen in 2008 and the first half of 2009, the 2000s has generally been a very strong decade in terms of house price growth. In nominal terms, house prices in the UK rose 117% between 1999 Q4 and 2009 Q4. Taking into account overall retail price inflation over the period, prices have risen by 68% in real terms, the strongest decade on record. This compares with a 14% fall in real terms during the 1990s.

“Wales has been the top performing country over the 2000s; house prices have risen 82% in real terms.  This sharply contrasts with the 1990s, where Wales saw prices fall by 24% in real terms.

“England overall has seen the weakest growth over the 2000s of 65%, although this has varied widely across the regions. Within England, Yorkshire and Humberside has seen the strongest growth, with prices rising 84% in real terms, whilst the Outer Metropolitan region has experienced the weakest growth, with a 51% increase.

The strong growth seen in Yorkshire and Humberside might reflect that it started the decade as one of the most affordable regions, with a house price to earnings ratio of 3.0 (compared with the UK average of 3.6 in 2000 Q1).

“Whilst the strong housing market performance of the 2000s is good news for homeowners, it is less positive for those looking to get on the housing ladder. Affordability has improved since the peak in house prices in 2007, but we will enter 2010 with house price to earnings ratios across the regions at a much higher level than the start of any other decade.”

The MPC also voted to continue with its programme of Quantitative Easing (QE) – which was extended by an additional £25 billion last month to £200 billion – a move welcomed by businesses who believed that the economy would stall without it.

Commenting on the figures Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide’s Chief Economist, said:

“The monthly rate of house price inflation for November is at a seasonally adjusted 0.5%, leaving the average price of a typical property 2.7% higher than a year earlier. At £162,764, the average house price is at a similar level to where it was in early 2006.

The 3 month on 3 month rate of change – generally a smoother indicator of the near term trend – dropped to 2.8% from 3.5% in October and 3.8% in September. This suggests that house prices are now rising at a more moderate pace than in the spring and summer months, when they experienced a very strong bounce from the early 2009 lows.

“The outlook for the housing market remains crucially dependent on labour market conditions, and here recent developments have been somewhat more encouraging than might have been expected.

With the UK experiencing its longest and deepest recession since WWII, most economists expected unemployment to increase very sharply in 2009, perhaps breaching the psychologically important three million mark by the end of the year.

While unemployment has indeed increased noticeably, the rise has not been as rapid and pronounced as previously feared. Based on the latest labour market figures from September, it now looks unlikely that the jobless total will reach three million before the year is up.”

The Index shows that house prices rose by 1.6% in September. Over the last 3 months (Quarter 3) they have risen by 2.8%, the first quarterly rise for two years (2007 Quarter 3) and the biggest since 2007 Quarter 1 (2.9%).

It is the third consecutive month house prices have gone up, giving an annual change of -7.4%, up from a low of -17.7% in April.

Martin Ellis, housing economist, said: “The combination of increased demand and a low level of properties available for sale has pushed up house prices in recent months. The marked improvement in affordability due to the reduction in both property prices and interest rates since mid 2007 has been a key factor in stimulating higher demand.”

“Continuing increases in unemployment and low earnings growth are likely to constrain the rise in demand. There are also some signs that the improvement in market conditions is encouraging more people to put their properties up for sale. This development could loosen market conditions by alleviating the current shortage of supply and curb the pace of house price growth evident in recent months.”

However, this is only a temporary measure with the concession expiring at the end of 2009. To qualify for the savings buyers must complete their property purchasers before 31 December 2009.

Purchasers can save between £1,250 and £1,750 if they complete before the deadline date. While a saving of between £1,250 and £1,750 may appear small, in the context of a much larger purchase price, this still represents a considerable saving for any purchaser.

With deals taking on average three months to complete, time is running out before the end of December and therefore it is up to all parts of the chain to ensure the process works as efficiently as possible.

Advisers at 1 STOP Financial Services are at the centre of the transaction and will help encourage all others be they the client, estate agent, lender or solicitor to work at their optimum level to ensure the purchaser can benefit from this Stamp Duty saving.

Potential purchasers who may be considering buying should be take into account the advantages of completing before the end of the year.

Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide’s Chief Economist, said: “The 3 month on 3 month rate of change, generally a smoother indicator of the near term trend, rose from 3.3% in August to 3.8% in September, the highest level since August 2004.

He added: “At £161,816, the average price of a typical UK property was essentially unchanged from a year earlier, representing the first time since March 2008 that the year-on-year rate of change has not been negative. Over the first nine months of 2009, the seasonally adjusted index of house prices has risen by 4.1%.”

“One reason to remain cautious about the outlook for house prices is that turnover in the market is still well below normal levels. The housing turnover rate – measuring the percentage of the private sector housing stock changing hands on an annualised basis – fell to only 3% at the end of 2008. Although the turnover rate has since recovered to nearly 4%, there is still quite some way to go before turnover reaches the pre-downturn level of between 7% and 8%.

Michael White, chief executive of online mortgage advisers Email Mortgages.com, said: “To talk of an average UK house price is always something of a red herring given the UK is very much a regional housing market – some homeowners, for example, those in the London commuter belt, will have seen their property bounce back strongly since the large falls of last year, while others have only seen a slight house price recovery.  One must expect that the recent house price increases, if they are to be maintained at all, will only be in very small increments and this will be the pattern for the foreseeable future.”

White said “the real issue for the UK housing market continues to be the low level of mortgage lending by the banks; a recent Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey for quarter three outlines what anyone working in the mortgage market has known for some time, that lenders have not increased lending to businesses or individuals as previously promised, instead lending has been cut.  Given the small number of lenders currently active in the market it is therefore unsurprising that many potential house purchases are not going ahead because of the difficulty accessing mortgage finance; a particularly acute problem for first-time buyers.”

Property transactions averaged 41,911 sales per month during the months from March to June 2009. In the same period in 2008, the average was 60,997 sales per month.

London and the West Midlands experienced the greatest monthly price rise with a movement of 0.8%. The average property price in the capital is now £310,640. All regions experienced a decrease in their average property values over the last 12 months. The region with the most significant annual price fall was the North West with a movement of -12.7%. Hartlepool experienced the greatest annual price fall with a drop of 23.7%.

The most up-to-date figures available show that during June 2009 the number of completed house sales in England and Wales fell by 17% to 48,903 from 58,636 in June 2008, monthly sales in England and Wales have risen steadily during the first half of the year – up from 26,517 in January.

Miles Shipside, commercial director of Rightmove, comments: “There’s an Autumn window for new sellers where a sensible asking price combined with this better market could get you traded up into your next home before Christmas. Some would-be sellers may be concerned by the limited choice of suitable property currently available, and will have to decide whether to take a chance on finding something fresh to the market after they have found a buyer.

This increases the risk and stress of moving, but with choice getting increasingly limited in popular areas they need to have a buyer lined up to improve their chances of securing their next home”.

The brisker market continues to erode stock levels as sold or withdrawn property is removed from the, market. One agent’s summary of trading conditions in August was: “Sales awesome, new listings dreadful”.

New seller numbers are averaging around 23,000 a week, giving a run rate of around 1.2 million a year. Historic figures from Rightmove show that potential buyers have previously enjoyed a choice from around 2 million properties a year. With 151,591 properties measured as coming off the market this month, it is easy to see why property scarcity in popular areas is underpinning price levels.