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Archive for November, 2009

Chancellor called upon to aid the housing market recovery

Monday, November 30th, 2009

The Chancellor, Alistair Darling has been called upon by the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA), to further aid the housing market recovery and avoid sending Britain into a ‘W’ shaped recession.
In a submission delivered to Downing Street, the NAEA calls on Mr Darling to:

  • Immediately extend the current stamp duty holiday
  • Conduct a longer-term review into the function of Stamp Duty
  • Intervene in the mortgage markets to encourage banks to lend again
  • Improve access to finance for first time buyers
  • Suspend Home Information Packs

 Peter Bolton King, chief executive of the NAEA stated:

“The current Stamp Duty holiday, for properties up to £175,000, is due to cease at the end of this year.  This, coupled with the reversion of VAT to its original rate of 17.5% – and possibly beyond in the future – threatens to cause damage to the fragile recovery we have so far seen in housing sales, just at the time when further stimulus is drastically needed.

“It is clear that Stamp Duty is an outdated and unpopular tax that is out of date and out of place in today’s world. The NAEA calls on the Government to commit to examining the future of the tax to see how it can be amended to produce less regional inequality and to stop it acting as a barrier to entry to the housing market.  We would welcome the chance to be part of this review.”

“The lack of available mortgage finance is significantly hampering the supply of, and access to, mortgages.  Despite considerable public pressure, banks continue to restrict access to mortgage finance and charge rates far higher than the current level of interest rates.  A more interventionist solution is now required to force banks to lend again.

Moreover, there are still significant consumer concerns about lending and the level of approvals.  NAEA July research conducted among 1,860 respondents showed that nearly 25% felt that the lack of available mortgages was preventing them from purchasing property at the moment, and a majority (57.6%) felt that if the banks were to start lending again it would make a “big difference” to the property market.”

“First-time buyers are central to a properly functioning housing market but the lack of mortgage finance is particularly impacting on this group.  High loan-to-value mortgages are being withdrawn and the consequent rise in the amount being demanded in deposit means it is becoming increasingly difficult to gain a foothold on the housing ladder.

“The NAEA calls on the Government actively to encourage lenders to provide high loan-to-value mortgages to enable first-time buyers to enter the market.  

We recognise that high loan-to-value mortgages carry additional risk for the lender, so we are calling on the Government to actively promote the use by lenders of Mortgage Indemnity Guarantees (MIGs) or Mortgage Insurance on properties with a high loan-to-value ratio.  We also call on the Government to examine the viability of running a state-backed MIG scheme for lenders.”

“The NAEA calls on the Government, once again, to suspend Home Information Packs.  The cost of the packs punishes sellers, while more than three quarters of buyers – 77% – do not consider them before they decide whether to buy a property.

During a recession this is an unacceptable situation.  The NAEA calls on the Government to immediately suspend HIPs while the UK economy is in recession, and to commit to re-examining their viability once the economy is out of recession.”

Inflation in the UK may rise ‘sharply’

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

According to Bank of England governor Mervyn King, inflation in the UK may rise ‘sharply’ over the next few months but is likely to fall back again in the medium term.

The increase would be triggered by VAT returning to 17.5% on 1 January 2010 and higher petrol prices. However, he believes inflation, which is currently at 1.1%, will then fall back in the medium term.

Presenting the Bank’s latest quarterly inflation report Mr King said the UK economy has ‘only just started’ down the road to recovery and lending by commercial banks would ‘probably remain weak over the next three years’.

His comments come a week after the Bank decided to pump an extra £25bn into the economy under its QE programme, bringing the total to £200bn.

Bank Base Rate stays at 0.5%

Thursday, November 5th, 2009

The Bank of England (BoE) has maintained interest rates at 0.5% for the eighth consecutive month.

It is also pumping a further £25bn into its quantitative easing programme.

Neil Young, chief executive of Young Group, said the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is unlikely to make any significant change to the base rate until the economy is firmly back on track.

He added: “Given current indicators pointing to the slow pace of the UK’s economic recovery, it comes as no surprise that the Bank of England is considering an additional stimulus in the form of an extension to its quantitative easing programme.

“The MPC has previously acted decisively in a bid to stimulate the economy and lending markets. However, there is clearly still some way to go in getting the economy back on its feet.

“Despite some positive economic news beginning to filter through, the impact of the MPC’s policy of quantitative easing has not yet crystallised; demonstrated by the consensus view that the MPC will announce plans to extend its programme by purchasing an additional £25bn to £50bn of assets. Until there are clear signs of stability and a steady return to growth, the MPC is unlikely to move towards a rise in the base rate.”